Although PEC Zwolle lost away at FC Twente last time out, there were some promising signs, and they could have taken something from the game if they were a little more clinical.
FC Utrecht have not looked at their best so far this season, but given that they have a very good record against the Bluefingers, we are expecting a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
2.24) 
-2.37) 
