SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 4.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.47%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
85.96% ( -0.09) | 9.55% ( 0.07) | 4.49% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.68% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.59% ( -0.24) | 26.4% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.27% ( -0.3) | 46.73% ( 0.3) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.85% ( -0.06) | 4.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.65% ( -0.17) | 17.35% ( 0.17) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.66% ( -0.09) | 52.34% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.77% ( -0.06) | 86.22% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 3-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 85.95% | 1-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 9.55% | 1-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.64% Total : 4.49% |
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