Vitesse have been poor on both ends of the pitch all-season long and it is hard to see them coming away with a positive result here. We are backing Excelsior to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Vitesse
32.12% ( -0.01)	25.3% ( 0)	42.58% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.67% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08% (

-0.01)

47.92% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9% (

-0.01)

70.1% (

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

-0.01)

28.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07% (

-0.01)

63.93% (

0.01)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56%

22.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.03%

55.97%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 32.12%

Vitesse 42.58%

Draw 25.3%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Vitesse
1-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.12%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.58%