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Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
FU

Sparta
0 - 3
Utrecht


Dalmau (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Douvikas (12'), Mahi (47'), van de Streek (75')
Maduro (41'), van der Hoorn (48')

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 FC Utrecht

Sparta Rotterdam have been resilient to deny some strong sides victories in recent weeks, and we see the same happening on Sunday. While Utrecht possess the ability to put the relegation-threatened team to the sword, they have struggled for form recently and may have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
27.4%25.1%47.49%
Both teams to score 53.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62%49.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57%71.43%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7%32.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19%68.81%
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18%20.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51%53.49%
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 27.4%
    FC Utrecht 47.49%
    Draw 25.1%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-1 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 4.29%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.99%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.4%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-2 @ 8.28%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 4.33%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.92%
0-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.49%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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