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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Vitesse has a probability of 32.98% and a draw has a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.68%) and 0-2 (4.88%). The likeliest Vitesse win is 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.2%).
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
32.98% ( 2.43) | 21.19% ( -0.16) | 45.83% ( -2.28) |
| Both teams to score 71.28% ( 1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.3% ( 2.02) | 27.69% ( -2.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.63% ( 2.49) | 48.36% ( -2.5) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( 2.22) | 18.03% ( -2.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.08% ( 3.68) | 48.92% ( -3.69) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.96% ( 0.03) | 13.03% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.41% ( 0.07) | 39.59% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.37)1-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.26)4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.75% Total : 32.98% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.6)2-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.12)0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.6)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.41)1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.2)3-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.13)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 45.83% |
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