SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Aston Villa |
42.35% ( 0.04) | 23.39% ( 0) | 34.26% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.23% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.64% ( -0.02) | 38.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.36% ( -0.02) | 60.65% ( 0.02) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( 0.01) | 18.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.23% ( 0.02) | 49.77% ( -0.02) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( -0.03) | 22.39% ( 0.03) |
