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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Neo GSP

APOEL
1 - 0
Kyzyl-Zhar

Efrem (27')
Efrem (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lobantsev (21'), Muzek (67')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between APOEL and Kyzyl-Zhar.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: APOEL 2-0 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Osijek 0-2 Kyzyl-Zhar
Thursday, July 28 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a APOEL win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Kyzyl-Zhar had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an APOEL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Kyzyl-Zhar win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that APOEL would win this match.

Result
APOELDrawKyzyl-Zhar
43.67% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08) 24.06% (-0.012 -0.01) 32.27% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 60.06% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (0.095999999999997 0.1)42.21% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (0.095999999999997 0.1)64.61% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
APOEL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)19.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.44% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Kyzyl-Zhar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.102 0.1)25.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (0.139 0.14)60.14% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    APOEL 43.67%
    Kyzyl-Zhar 32.27%
    Draw 24.05%
APOELDrawKyzyl-Zhar
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 43.67%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: APOEL 2-0 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 0-0 APOEL
Wednesday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slovan Liberec 1-0 APOEL
Thursday, October 1 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: APOEL 2-2 Zrinjski Mostar (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, September 24 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Kaisar 1-4 APOEL
Thursday, September 17 at 1pm in Europa League
Last Game: Gjilani 0-2 APOEL
Thursday, August 27 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Osijek 0-2 Kyzyl-Zhar
Thursday, July 28 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 Osijek
Thursday, July 21 at 1pm in Europa Conference League


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