SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Basel win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Basel in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Pyunik | Draw | Basel |
36.66% ( -0.04) | 28.13% ( -0.09) | 35.21% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.27% ( 0.35) | 58.73% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% ( 0.27) | 79.26% ( -0.27) |
| FC Pyunik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( 0.15) | 30.69% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( 0.18) | 66.94% ( -0.18) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( 0.26) | 31.61% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% ( 0.3) | 68.01% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Pyunik | Draw | Basel |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.21% |
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