Fiorentina are one of the favourites to win the entire tournament let alone a home tie against a struggling Turkish team still piecing itself back together after the natural disasters in the area.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
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