SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Hearts | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 5 | 9 | 10 |
| 4 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Gaziantep | 5 | 4 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
41.68% ( 0.04) | 23.52% ( -0) | 34.79% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.88% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.12% ( -0) | 38.87% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.81% | 61.19% ( 0) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.97% ( 0.02) | 19.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.4% ( 0.03) | 50.6% ( -0.03) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.02) | 22.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( -0.04) | 55.82% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 34.79% |
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