Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
FT(HT: 3-1)
Zulfiu (42')
Haxhihamza (64'), Kameraj (78')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between HNK Rijeka and Dukagjini.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Dukagjini had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Dukagjini win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Dukagjini |
69.3% ( 0.01) | 18.45% ( 0) | 12.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.06) |
| 57.66% ( -0.05) | 42.34% ( 0.05) |
| 35.25% ( -0.05) | 64.74% ( 0.05) |
| 88.9% ( -0.01) | 11.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.51% ( -0.02) | 35.49% ( 0.02) |
| 55.08% ( -0.06) | 44.92% ( 0.06) |
