Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Campo Sportivo di Montegiardino
Casolla (33')
Amati (64'), Paradisi (90+2'),
Zafferani (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Caruntu (64')
Raileanu (8')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between La Fiorita and Zimbru.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Fiorita win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Fiorita win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.54%), while for a Zimbru win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| La Fiorita | Draw | Zimbru |
63.7% ( 0.19) | 23.6% ( -0.11) | 12.7% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 35.92% ( 0.08) |
| 39.06% ( 0.22) | 60.94% ( -0.22) |
| 19.05% ( 0.17) | 80.95% ( -0.16) |
| 81.07% ( 0.16) | 18.93% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.56% ( 0.26) | 50.44% ( -0.25) |
| 44.31% ( 0.02) | 55.69% ( -0.01) |
