Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
FT(HT: 0-0)
Juric (89')
Cheshmedzhiev (34'), Boshnjaku (45+3')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Linfield and Vllaznia Shkoder.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Vllaznia Shkoder had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Vllaznia Shkoder win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result |
| Linfield | Draw | Vllaznia Shkoder |
52.55% ( -0.08) | 26.04% ( 0.03) | 21.4% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.91% ( 0) |
| 42.22% ( -0.03) | 57.78% ( 0.03) |
| 21.49% ( -0.03) | 78.51% ( 0.03) |
| 77.91% ( -0.05) | 22.09% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.55% ( -0.07) | 55.44% ( 0.07) |
| 57.65% ( 0.04) | 42.35% ( -0.04) |
