SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Partizani Tirana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Partizani Tirana | Draw | Valmiera |
37.72% ( -1.37) | 25.29% ( -0.04) | 36.99% ( 1.41) |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( 0.26) | 46.98% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( 0.25) | 69.23% ( -0.24) |
| Partizani Tirana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( -0.61) | 24.48% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.07% ( -0.86) | 58.93% ( 0.86) |
| Valmiera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( 0.92) | 24.87% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% ( 1.26) | 59.48% ( -1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partizani Tirana | Draw | Valmiera |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.81% Total : 36.99% |
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