SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Progres Niederkorn win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Progres Niederkorn | Draw | Gjilani |
34.07% ( 0.03) | 25.26% ( 0.02) | 40.67% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( -0.08) | 47.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% ( -0.07) | 69.42% ( 0.07) |
| Progres Niederkorn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.02) | 26.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( -0.02) | 61.9% ( 0.02) |
| Gjilani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( -0.06) | 23.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.13% ( -0.08) | 56.87% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Progres Niederkorn | Draw | Gjilani |
| 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.67% |
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