Given how competitive the first leg proved to be, we should expect more of the same on Thursday. It would not come as a surprise if this tie went all the way to extra time and penalties, but do not rule out a late Leicester goal securing their progress during normal time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Leicester City
50.8%	22%	27.2%

Both teams to score 64.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.65%

35.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.62%

57.38%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.76%

14.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.01%

41.99%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85%

25.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13%

59.87%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 50.8%

Leicester City 27.2%

Draw 22%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.39% 1-0 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 6.1% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.16% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.8%	1-1 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.58% 3-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.36% Total : 22%	1-2 @ 6.65% 0-1 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 1.57% 1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.2%