SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 52.41%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.9%) and 0-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Riga FC | Draw | FC Twente |
25.99% ( -0.72) | 21.59% ( -0.57) | 52.41% ( 1.28) |
| Both teams to score 64.52% ( 1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.57% ( 2.14) | 34.43% ( -2.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.65% ( 2.38) | 56.35% ( -2.38) |
| Riga FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( 0.63) | 25.49% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( 0.85) | 60.34% ( -0.86) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.6% ( 1.16) | 13.4% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.66% ( 2.29) | 40.33% ( -2.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Riga FC | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.99% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.39)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.16)0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.24)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.2)1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.15)3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.11)0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.41% |
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