SM
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | France | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 | Austria | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Azerbaijan |
50.08% ( -0) | 24.95% ( -0.01) | 24.96% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( 0.06) | 50.53% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( 0.05) | 72.45% ( -0.06) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( 0.02) | 20.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.51% ( 0.03) | 52.48% ( -0.04) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( 0.05) | 34.91% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% ( 0.05) | 71.65% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | Azerbaijan |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.08% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.96% |
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