A pair of victories over Gibraltar are nothing to shout about for Ireland, and while Kenny's side did give the Netherlands a good run for their money two months ago, a sterner test awaits them in Amsterdam. Despite their wealth of injuries, the Dutch ought to quell an Ireland side lamenting several fitness concerns of their own to punch their ticket to next year's tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Netherlands in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Netherlands.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Republic of Ireland
42.72% ( -0.66)	26.76% ( -0.17)	30.52% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 50.35% (

0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51% (

0.98)

54.49% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.16% (

0.81)

75.85% (

-0.81)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

0.1)

25.26% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

0.14)

60.01% (

-0.14)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

1.13)

32.64% (

-1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82% (

1.24)

69.18% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

Netherlands 42.72%

Republic of Ireland 30.52%

Draw 26.76%

Netherlands	Draw	Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.72%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.52%