SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Belgium | 7 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Sweden | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 7 | -5 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 7 | -18 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sweden in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sweden.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Estonia |
71.97% ( -0.04) | 17.25% ( 0.05) | 10.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.25% ( -0.26) | 40.75% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.86% ( -0.27) | 63.13% ( 0.27) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.01% ( -0.08) | 9.98% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.01% ( -0.18) | 32.99% ( 0.18) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.55% ( -0.19) | 46.44% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.93% ( -0.15) | 82.06% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | Estonia |
| 2-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 71.97% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 17.25% | 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.78% |
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