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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate
WB

Bristol City
3 - 0
West Brom

Bell (12', 48'), Scott (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Wallace (58'), Furlong (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

While West Brom are the favourites for this fixture, Bristol City have as much chance of posting a noteworthy result against an in-form team as they have had all season. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out and a replay be scheduled for The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
31.16% (-0.096 -0.1) 25.38% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 43.46% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.02% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (0.073 0.07)48.58% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3% (0.067 0.07)70.7% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)29.19% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)65.13% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (0.090999999999994 0.09)22.3% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (0.134 0.13)55.76% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 31.16%
    West Bromwich Albion 43.46%
    Draw 25.37%
Bristol CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.94% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.16%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.33% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.67% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 4-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Swansea
Sunday, January 8 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Bristol City
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 West Brom
Friday, January 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 4-0 Chesterfield
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Luton 2-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Reading
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Preston
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship


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