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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
WL

Luton
1 - 1
Wigan

Cornick (45+1')
Potts (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Naylor (17')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-2 Luton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-4 Hull City
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 3-1 Wigan Athletic

Luton will come into the game with far more confidence and momentum than their opponents, and even if the likes of Morris are rested from the start, we can still only envisage the Hatters progressing thanks to their superior quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawWigan Athletic
49.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.43%26.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.63% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)19.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)50.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.73% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.39%
    Wigan Athletic 26.18%
    Draw 24.43%
Luton TownDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-2 Luton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Luton
Thursday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Norwich
Monday, December 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-4 Hull City
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-4 Sunderland
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 4-1 Wigan
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Sheff Utd
Monday, December 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship


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