SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
27.1% ( -0.05) | 23.93% ( 0) | 48.97% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( -0.05) | 44.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( -0.05) | 66.89% ( 0.05) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( -0.06) | 29.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( -0.07) | 66.11% ( 0.08) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( 0) | 18.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.65% | 49.35% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 27.1% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.97% |
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