Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Basel had a probability of 14.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Basel win it was 2-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
