Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
-0.26) 
0.06) 
