SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.87%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Liverpool |
36.75% ( 0.22) | 22.66% ( -0.03) | 40.59% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 66.59% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.81% ( 0.15) | 34.19% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.92% ( 0.17) | 56.08% ( -0.18) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( 0.17) | 19.24% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.05% ( 0.29) | 50.95% ( -0.29) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( -0.02) | 17.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.92% ( -0.03) | 48.07% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 40.59% |
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