SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Millonarios |
62.62% ( 0.14) | 20.76% ( -0.03) | 16.61% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( -0.08) | 43.31% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.29% ( -0.07) | 65.71% ( 0.07) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( 0.01) | 13.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.99% ( 0.04) | 40% ( -0.04) |
| Millonarios Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% ( -0.19) | 39.3% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% ( -0.17) | 76.01% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Millonarios |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 62.62% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.76% | 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.61% |
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