Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Sakaryaspor had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Sakaryaspor win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
0.26) 
-0.31) 
