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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 26, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium

El Salvador
1 - 2
Martinique

Tamacas (90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burner (11'), Fortune (16')
Fabien (29'), Labonne (83')
Rivierez (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: South Korea 1-1 El Salvador
Tuesday, June 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Costa Rica
Saturday, March 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: El Salvador 2-0 Martinique

Only four Martinique players have more than 10 international appearances, and we believe they will be outmatched against an El Salvador side who are as well disciplined and compact off the ball as anyone in CONCACAF. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 76.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 6.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.63%) and 3-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
El SalvadorDrawMartinique
76.29% (0.146 0.15) 16.83% (-0.126 -0.13) 6.87% (-0.024100000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 33.37% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (0.41399999999999 0.41)51.38% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.361 0.36)73.2% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.27% (0.155 0.16)11.72% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.14% (0.33900000000001 0.34)36.85% (-0.343 -0.34)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.8% (0.196 0.2)62.2% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.26% (0.091000000000001 0.09)91.73% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 76.29%
    Martinique 6.87%
    Draw 16.83%
El SalvadorDrawMartinique
2-0 @ 16.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 15.63% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 11.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.42% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.75% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 76.29%
1-1 @ 7.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 16.83%
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.76% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 6.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: South Korea 1-1 El Salvador
Tuesday, June 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 6-0 El Salvador
Thursday, June 15 at 11.10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-0 El Salvador
Tuesday, March 28 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 23 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 1-0 El Salvador
Thursday, November 17 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: El Salvador 1-4 Peru
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Costa Rica
Saturday, March 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 0-0 Panama
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 5-0 Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 Martinique
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Haiti
Sunday, July 18 at 10pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Martinique 1-6 USA
Friday, July 16 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup


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