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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2021 at 2.30am UK
 
HN

Panama
2 - 3
Honduras

Davis (32' pen.), Yanis (45+1')
Palacios (13'), Alonso Miller Molina (54'), Carrasquilla (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Quioto (22', 65'), Agustin Lopez Rodriguez (61')
Figueroa (17'), Crisanto (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawHonduras
42.15%27.05%30.79%
Both teams to score 49.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47%55.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29%76.7%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98%26.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94%61.05%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.56%
Score Analysis
    Panama 42.15%
    Honduras 30.79%
    Draw 27.05%
PanamaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.15%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.52%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.79%

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