Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 75.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 8.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.