Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Panathinaikos
50.96% ( -0.31)	26.76% ( 0.1)	22.28% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 44.09% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.59% (

-0.15)

59.41% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.22% (

-0.12)

79.79% (

0.12)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.2)

23.49% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

-0.3)

57.51% (

0.3)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.62% (

0.13)

42.39% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.23% (

0.11)

78.77% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 50.95%

Panathinaikos 22.28%

Draw 26.75%

AEK Athens	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 14.42% 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 50.95%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.09% Total : 22.28%