SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lamia win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lamia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lamia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lamia | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
43.81% ( -0.04) | 26.92% ( 0.02) | 29.27% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.26% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.41% ( -0.06) | 55.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( -0.05) | 76.75% ( 0.04) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -0.05) | 25.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( -0.06) | 59.93% ( 0.06) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( -0.01) | 34.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( -0.01) | 70.83% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lamia | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.27% |
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