Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
-0.54) 
0.56) 
