SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for MTK had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Diosgyor | Draw | MTK |
45.38% ( -0.27) | 23.97% ( 0.07) | 30.65% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 59.56% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( -0.23) | 42.53% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.23) | 64.93% ( 0.23) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( -0.2) | 18.95% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.52% ( -0.34) | 50.47% ( 0.34) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( 0.02) | 26.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% ( 0.02) | 61.71% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Diosgyor | Draw | MTK |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.65% |
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