Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.