SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | New Zealand |
67.83% ( -0.41) | 20.05% ( 0.23) | 12.11% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.46% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -0.5) | 49.54% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -0.45) | 71.57% ( 0.44) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% ( -0.28) | 13.62% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.21% ( -0.56) | 40.78% ( 0.55) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.31% ( 0.01) | 49.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.56% ( 0.01) | 84.43% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | New Zealand |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 67.82% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.05% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.11% |
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