SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 3 | Cuba | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Nicaragua |
52.57% ( -5.13) | 24.86% ( 1.65) | 22.56% ( 3.49) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.68% ( -2.47) | 52.32% ( 2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% ( -2.16) | 74.01% ( 2.16) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( -2.86) | 19.88% ( 2.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% ( -4.84) | 51.99% ( 4.84) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.92% ( 2.2) | 38.08% ( -2.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.15% ( 2.07) | 74.85% ( -2.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Nicaragua |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.87)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 5.32% ( -1.03)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.63)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.66)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.48)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.77% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.77) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.71)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 1.08) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.68)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.69)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.28)Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.56% |
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