SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.02%).
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Zambia |
57.69% ( 0.01) | 24.62% ( 0.01) | 17.69% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.32% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.06% ( -0.04) | 56.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.15% ( -0.03) | 77.85% ( 0.03) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( -0.01) | 19.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.36% ( -0.02) | 51.64% ( 0.02) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.92% ( -0.04) | 46.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.22% ( -0.03) | 81.78% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mali | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 14.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 57.68% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 17.69% |
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