SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Angola had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morocco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morocco.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Angola |
53.24% ( 0.02) | 26.53% ( 0) | 20.23% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.24% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.52% ( -0.03) | 60.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.4% ( -0.02) | 80.61% ( 0.02) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -0.01) | 22.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( -0.01) | 56.71% ( 0.01) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.81% ( -0.04) | 45.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.92% ( -0.03) | 81.09% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Angola |
| 1-0 @ 15.26% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 53.24% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 20.23% |
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