SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Poland | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Moldova | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 7 | -11 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 84.22%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 4.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.85%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.25%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Norway | Draw | Faroe Islands |
84.22% ( -0.93) | 11.06% ( 0.45) | 4.71% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 39.9% ( 2.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.94% ( 0.33) | 34.05% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.07% ( 0.37) | 55.93% ( -0.37) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.18% ( -0.12) | 5.82% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.64% ( -0.33) | 22.36% ( 0.33) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.37% ( 2.18) | 57.63% ( -2.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.61% ( 1.16) | 89.39% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norway | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 2-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.5)1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.42)2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.22)5-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.13)6-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.29% Total : 84.21% | 1-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.4% Total : 11.06% | 0-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.42% Total : 4.72% |
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