SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 91.32%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 2.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.08%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.93%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-2 (0.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philippines | Draw | Nepal |
91.32% ( 0.02) | 6.25% ( -0) | 2.42% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.57% ( -0.13) | 20.42% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.3% ( -0.18) | 38.7% ( 0.18) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.5% ( -0.01) | 2.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.3% ( -0.05) | 11.7% ( 0.05) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.54% ( -0.25) | 57.45% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.7% ( -0.14) | 89.3% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philippines | Draw | Nepal |
| 3-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 5.41% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 5.04% ( 0)5-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 2.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)8-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 4.27% Total : 91.32% | 1-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 6.25% | Other @ 2.42% Total : 2.42% |
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