Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Sudan had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Sudan win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
