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Friendlies 1
Mar 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
CN

Tunisia
0 - 0
Croatia

Croatia win 5-4 on penalties

Kechrida (18')
FT

Majer (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Tunisia
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 1-0 Armenia
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey8717
2Croatia8916
3Wales8012
4Armenia8-28
5Latvia8-143

We said: Tunisia 0-1 Croatia

Dalic must utilise the four games ahead of Euro 2024 wisely, with a changing of the guard taking place within the Croatia squad and a devilishly difficult group to navigate in Germany. Tunisia are looking to recover from a hopeless showing at AFCON and may be revitalised with a new-look squad, but this is a very difficult test for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
TunisiaDrawCroatia
37.02% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 28.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.03% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)81.01% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)31.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)68.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (0.019000000000005 0.02)33.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)70.08% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 37.01%
    Croatia 34.22%
    Draw 28.74%
TunisiaDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 37.01%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.74%
0-1 @ 11.58%
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Tunisia
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 1-1 Mali
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Namibia
Tuesday, January 16 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 2-0 Cape Verde
Wednesday, January 10 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tunisia 0-0 Mauritania
Saturday, January 6 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malawi 0-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Croatia 1-0 Armenia
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Croatia
Saturday, November 18 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 2-1 Croatia
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 0-1 Turkey
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Armenia 0-1 Croatia
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 5-0 Latvia
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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