SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 88.59%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 2.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.26%) and 4-0 (11.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.99%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (1.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vietnam | Draw | Hong Kong |
88.59% ( -0.16) | 8.55% ( 0.12) | 2.85% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 33.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.82% ( -0.34) | 32.18% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.22% ( -0.39) | 53.78% ( 0.39) |
| Vietnam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.33% ( -0.09) | 4.66% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.04% ( -0.26) | 18.96% ( 0.26) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.02) | 65.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.95% ( 0.01) | 93.05% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vietnam | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 3-0 @ 14.57% 2-0 @ 14.26% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0)2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 88.58% | 1-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 8.55% | 0-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 2.86% |
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