Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Ashdod |
32.5% ( -0.56) | 26.7% ( 0.03) | 40.81% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 51.28% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.36% ( -0.27) | 53.64% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.86% ( -0.23) | 75.14% ( 0.23) |
Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.17% ( -0.51) | 30.83% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.89% ( -0.6) | 67.11% ( 0.6) |
Ashdod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.13% ( 0.16) | 25.87% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.15% ( 0.21) | 60.85% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Ashdod |
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.8% |
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