Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
-0.86) 
0.32) 
