Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
35% ( 1.96)	26.1% ( 0.65)	38.9% ( -2.61)

Both teams to score 53.78% (

-1.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.31% (

-2.45)

50.69% (

2.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4% (

-2.2)

72.59% (

2.2)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

0.02)

27.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65% (

0.03)

63.35% (

-0.03)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

-2.45)

25.54% (

2.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

-3.46)

60.4% (

3.46)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 35%

Consadole Sapporo 38.9%

Draw 26.09%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 35%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.67) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.46) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.27) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.9%