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J1 League | Gameweek 30
Oct 20, 2023 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
4 - 2
Avispa Fukuoka

Segawa (20'), Kobayashi (84'), Tono (90+2'), Miyashiro (90+6')
Ominami (11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grolli (24'), Yamagishi (66')
Grolli (62')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Ulsan
Tuesday, October 3 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, September 30 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAvispa Fukuoka
59.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 17.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 47.89% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)50.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)72.35% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)16.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.89% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)46.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.69% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 59.95%
    Avispa Fukuoka 17.31%
    Draw 22.72%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 59.95%
1-1 @ 10.78%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 17.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Ulsan
Tuesday, October 3 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-3 Albirex Niigata
Friday, September 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 24 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Johor Darul 0-1 Kawasaki
Tuesday, September 19 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 FC Tokyo
Friday, September 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, September 30 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-3 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Friday, August 18 at 11am in J1 League


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