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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 6am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 0
FC Tokyo

Wakizaka (34'), Yamada (83'), Tachibanada (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kimoto (26')
Hatano (72')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 16 at 4am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawFC Tokyo
45.68% (0.221 0.22) 24.85% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1) 29.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (0.346 0.35)47.07% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (0.321 0.32)69.31% (-0.327 -0.33)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.23999999999999 0.24)20.66% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (0.376 0.38)53.24% (-0.381 -0.38)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.085000000000008 0.09)29.59% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (0.104 0.1)65.62% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 45.69%
    FC Tokyo 29.47%
    Draw 24.84%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 29.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Kawasaki
Sunday, March 17 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-5 Jubilo Iwata
Friday, March 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-4 Shandong
Tuesday, February 20 at 8am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 2-3 Kawasaki
Tuesday, February 13 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 16 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-3 Consadole
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League


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